Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.005279 0.005831 0.006402 0.007036 0.007719 0.008432 0.009230
2025-01-05 0.004523 0.005328 0.006202 0.007218 0.008363 0.009609 0.011062
2025-01-12 0.003860 0.004778 0.005813 0.007057 0.008506 0.010129 0.012077
2025-01-19 0.003428 0.004425 0.005585 0.007021 0.008736 0.010705 0.013123
2025-01-26 0.003048 0.004089 0.005336 0.006918 0.008855 0.011125 0.013966
2025-02-02 0.002769 0.003849 0.005175 0.006898 0.009049 0.011619 0.014889
2025-02-09 0.002524 0.003628 0.005016 0.006859 0.009205 0.012054 0.015736
2025-02-16 0.002394 0.003543 0.005020 0.007017 0.009599 0.012781 0.016946
2025-02-23 0.002180 0.003330 0.004841 0.006923 0.009663 0.013089 0.017633
2025-03-02 0.002029 0.003191 0.004749 0.006935 0.009855 0.013555 0.018519
2025-03-09 0.001972 0.003178 0.004824 0.007166 0.010335 0.014393 0.019890
2025-03-16 0.001870 0.003092 0.004791 0.007246 0.010613 0.014971 0.020933
2025-03-23 0.001800 0.003053 0.004826 0.007425 0.011034 0.015755 0.022272
2025-03-30 0.001739 0.003022 0.004869 0.007615 0.011473 0.016572 0.023672
2025-04-06 0.001577 0.002828 0.004666 0.007447 0.011412 0.016717 0.024181
2025-04-13 0.001467 0.002704 0.004559 0.007409 0.011526 0.017093 0.025000
2025-04-20 0.001347 0.002558 0.004410 0.007302 0.011536 0.017324 0.025622
2025-04-27 0.001259 0.002457 0.004323 0.007281 0.011663 0.017714 0.026462
2025-05-04 0.001173 0.002354 0.004227 0.007240 0.011758 0.018058 0.027241
2025-05-11 0.001140 0.002338 0.004267 0.007404 0.012154 0.018827 0.028616
2025-05-18 0.001052 0.002221 0.004139 0.007307 0.012159 0.019043 0.029223
2025-05-25 0.000994 0.002151 0.004085 0.007319 0.012325 0.019487 0.030154
2025-06-01 0.000984 0.002170 0.004175 0.007560 0.012840 0.020437 0.031809